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One down (NYG), one more to go this week. This game should be a high scoring affair with both defenses almost suspect. While on the other side, both offenses can score. I like the fact that Saints D man Rob Ryan is returning to the place where he used to work before getting the axe - great motivation angle in that if the highly talented Saints D is going to impress, this primetime spot in Dallas will be when they do. Sean Payton, another ex-Boy has a darn good record versus Dallas. Liking the Saints & Over.
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Covers | 57 |
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NY Giants will exploit Redskins laundry list of defensive injuries, points could potentially be traded throughout, NYG could win this one outright. NYG +4
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Covers | 62 |
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Okay... I rarely post... but after going 4-0 ats last week, I'm posting my 2 pennies. So I'm taking the live-enough dog in this one, got the Saints with the points... win or lose. My rationale: 1) I have to believe Payton, Brees, and co. won't go to Seattle a 2nd time in as many weeks to perform poorly... the 2nd time could be a charm. The tape has been watched and is worn, lessons have been learned, I will bet the car that a new schematic game plan is in place for the Saints... they're chomping at the bit to get this party going. 2) If a lesser Arizona team could do it to the Seahawks on their turf in Week 16, not sure why the Saints couldn't at least make a game of this? They have the momentum heading in. 3) If the Saints or Chargers win this weekend, they keep an interesting trend alive. In each of the last six postseasons, an underdog of more than a touchdown has won outright in the divisional-playoff round. In fact, favorites of more than a touchdown are just 6-7 overall in this span. Something to keep in mind this weekend? 4) It is in no way Payton's nor Brees' first go at the playoffs, they're 'super bowl conditioned' accordingly to deal with the pending pressure of a divisional playoff game out West. Yes, the home-field advantage is almost overwhelming. But you just had to know that Saints would inevitably win a road playoff game like they did last week as certain trends (road losses) are meant to be broken. Last week, public perception helped have the wrong team favored, Saints win outright as I knew they would.... not saying they will do so with certainty Sat. but I might pull the trigger for the hell of it. 5) Sean Payton, is quite the offensive mind - a calculated strategist, one who has won a Super Bowl already. His psychological approach to winning (especially how he prepares his team) is comparable to none - in my mind. His team will be ready for the task. 6) Injuries? The Saints have them, and like any other high-caliber team in the playoffs, next man up mentality here. CB Lewis expects to play, so a big relief for the Saints' and their secondary representation in this one. 7) I would not be surprised if the football gods intend to have the Saints and Niners hookup for an NFC Conf. Championship rematch... almost as if such a script would be NFL-perfect? Just sayin... 8) Heard that the officiating crew will keep an extra set of eyes on this one, so any prior borderline dirty plays will be called - disadvantage for Seahawks DBs who have gotten away with it... the NFL wants a clean game in this one, with many millions expected to tune in. 9) The Saints defense is helping make this Saints team a viable contender, period. No disputing this. Judging from Ryan's midweek presser: he's been up all week drafting a better game plan for Wilson and the Seahawks... he's absolutely ready for a 2nd go at it. 10) If the Saints institute a run game like last week, tempo/clock will be controlled. Sure, the Seahawks defense will create some matchup nightmares for the Saints up front, but the Saints could potentially slow down that pass rush with a "gritty" running game that amassed 185 yards last week led by Mark Ingram. Of course, a different D to face in Seattle, but worth noting nonetheless? 11) This is the playoffs. 2nd season. Past performance and prior score/matchups should not influence "perceived" future outcomes, especially when it comes to hardcore playoff football! Entirely different stage, especially from a psychological point of view. 12) Aside from the Saints defense and storied offense, one just has to look at the potential X factor from last week for the Saints... a brilliant (bold & ballsy move) acquisition in kicker Shane Graham because this game could very well come down to a 3pt boot... in the end. 13) Weather theories are over-rated to me. The Saints have played in the elements several times before, especially Brees.... and last week's bitter cold in Philly was no exception... Saints handled it fine. If turnovers play no factor in this one - then I do like the Saints to keep things close and maybe pull it off. Like the Over and the Saints in an ATS win, win or lose. Seattle 27, New Orleans 24. Good luck.
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Covers | 97 |
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The Texans are playing this game pissed and more needy than the Niners are - from what I see. Heck, I would argue the Niners, the Superbowl finalist of last season, have bigger problems if they plan to repeat. For the Texans, there is a decent psychological angle here in their favor. Texans will not slouch they will play tough with something to prove. The team got together Wed. fully supporting Schaub, they have his back. At the very least, the Texans will make a solid game of this. For me, I have the Texans +7 & ML.
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Covers | 58 |
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San Fran did not prove anything beating a bad Rams team last week. Win or lose, taking the points on this solid dog. Texans.
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Covers | 58 |
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If Indy could do it to San Fran, why not Houston? Have to get around that in my head first.
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Covers | 58 |
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When I see all these posts... wish we all could capitalize, but I don't post much here... no time... BUT...
If you just check @safepicks (Twitter)... no need to follow it, just check for yourself and confirm... We called for Moreno to finish 1st... told the twitter world to TB 2,3,5,6 for the cash! Can't make this stuff up, it's there. Now, Moreno almost made it w2w... but we got the place/show... will take it... and we hit the tri for a good $core. To much over-rating of the field heading in... if you ask me. Anyway, good luck to all... and feel free to follow... I don't tweet often, but when I do, it's usually a nice outcome. (Again, no need to follow - for those skeptics here, just check it out and see that I tell the truth.) Losing sucks... winning is awesome!
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mikeyp1 | 21 |
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Liking #5 NI to finish strong myself. I am honing in on #2, #5, #12, #13.... something about Oxbow that's intriguing me enough to bet big. Good luck! |
CASTORTROY | 8 |
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Nice call on Monmouth RC 6, nailed it.
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bill1947 | 7 |
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I know it's a bit late... but let me tell ya, I was so very pissed... almost an hour it was down, but was eventually able to get my picks in...
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dogcity | 2 |
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The Niners, at home, have defeated the following teams this season: Seattle, Tampa Bay, Cleveland, Arizona, St. Louis, NY Giants (teams with a 34-62 record combined). Yes, they beat Pittsburgh recently on MNF (lead by a hobbling Big Ben at the helm) but they also lost to Dallas in Week 2 at home. We know were Dallas is right now. Yes, the Niners have won well at home for sure, but not against anyone high-caliber. But I do believe the Saints will be the most formidable opponent yet for the Niners. Mind you, on the flip side, the Saints will face their toughest test to date in the high-caliber defense San Fran brings. New Orleans will field their number one passing offense, as prolific as it is, going up against a San Fran pass defense ranked 16th overall. And, even if the Saints don’t get the big pass plays off, or succumb to home crowd noise, they’ll scheme just enough and win on the dink-and-dunk, check-downs, and screen plays. But, the Niners 2nd best defense will put the Saints to the test, no question about it! I believe the fact that
the Saints have a healthy backfield is a plus, no matter what public-perceived
limited chance the Saints have in running against the Niners – Saints coach Payton
and co. will mix it up enough (using concoctions that many opposing coaches this
season have hinted admittedly as being potent and hard to scheme against) and could potentially give the
Niners matchup nightmares they’ve yet to face this season, eventually wearing
them down into the fourth quarter.
Actually, I don’t think ‘first year’ coach Harbaugh and co. will be able
to keep up thru the fourth quarter... I’ve heard some arguments he’s in over
his head... then again, aside from all that chatter, who really knows? I do think the Saints have enough in their arsenal to pull
off the win. To me, there is a reason
why they’re favored, even as the number 3 seed playing on the road at the 2nd
seed. The Saints have won six straight
and they’re 4-2 ATS against the 49ers in those last six. In their last meeting versus the Niners at
San Fran on MNF Week 2 in 2010, Brees came up with that last minute late drive,
then a 37-yard field goal after time expired to cap that winning drive that
gave the Saints a 25-22 victory over the Niners. That game was tight but I do see a similar
scoring outcome, something like 27-23 or 24 for the Saints. Funny thing is that a few weeks back, I was
in the same decision making mode when the Saints were at Tennessee. I decided to bet against the Saints and take
the Titans with the points based on the strength of the Titans D at home, and the
Saints went into Tennessee as 3.5 point favs and won, they also covered in that
22-17 win. The Titans are not the Niners
by any stretch, but I do remember how the same argument came into play for
potential Saints backers like me, whether they could go on the road outdoors
and beat a stronger defense in the Titans.
We were proven wrong. Still, not
sure 'yet' if the Saints will cover that half point on three in this one. San Francisco has not won or been to a playoff game since 2002, when they ‘memorably’ rallied past the NY Giants for a 39-38 victory. Most certainly though, a decade later, give coach Jim Harbaugh props, he should get coach of the year honors, hands down. But when push comes to shove, I’d have to lean more on experienced coaches Payton and dc Williams, they’ve already ‘been there and done that’. In fact, any day, I would take coach Payton over Harbaugh’s ‘virgin’ journey through what is truly unchartered territory for him. I don’t think the 49ers want to get into any kind of offensive shootout with the Saints, because I would certainly take QB Brees over Smith any day too. I believe this game will come down to time of possession, and turnovers. The team winning the battle in both categories will win this one. San Francisco finished first in turnover ratio in 2011 with an astounding +28 I believe, so the Saints will have to play disciplined ball (last week the Saints turned the ball over twice in their win over the Lions). Strangely though, I was on all the home teams last week and the home teams did well – something tells me the road teams will take their turn in a flipped wacky divisional playoff trend this weekend. Maybe. Well, it would not surprise me in the slightest. For this one though, the Saints should put together a game plan that should get them the win but I'm not ready to give that half. I will probably take the Niners with the points as I think this game will come down to a boot -- but I may change my mind come Friday or Saturday morning. The Saints are coming off their home win over Detroit and head into this one with more momentum than the Niners do. So I am leaning on the Saints for the win straight up by three. |
Covers | 157 |
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QB Freeman will probably be out... Johnson maybe to start.... well, at least from what I read. Still, Freeman is hurting which makes me lean even more on the Panthers...
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Covers | 18 |
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Yup. Max you can box for OLG Pools is 4 -- for a cost of $80 CAD.
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Montecarlo23 | 9 |
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Saints win. Saints getting back 2 starters. Tampa Bay dealing with injury, especially RB Blount hurt and not playing.
The Bucs have to wrap this game up fast, then grab their passports and rush to the airport for their international charter flight to London, England for their part vacation/part game (vs. CHI). Not homering when I say the Saints cover that modest number.
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m15525 | 11 |
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The thing I can't shake is how last week, one night past curfew, Cam Newton's light was on and coach Rivera entered. Rivera basically asked him if he wanted to QB the team or not? (Newton was simmering in frustration & lack of confidence, upset that he was not owning up to 'to all that' in preseason -- letting the players and fans down). Rivera basically sat with him for an hour into the night to basically coax Newton into a more stronger state of mind & help build his confidence back, and to take it week by week. Now this was on Sirius NFL Radio, straight from Rivera's mouth. So not sure how confident Newton is. But it's concerning 1-2 weeks before the NFL season even begins for such to transpire? Because it is confidence that was lacking and Rivera had to resolve this emotionally with him. Just the sound of it all just made for a shaky Panthers/Newton year in my mind. But hey, time will tell.
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Covers | 25 |
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New Orleans over Baltimore 31-30
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Roonie | 19 |
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Gotta say Gambler, never stop what you do here... I'm an avid follower, and I nailed a few today thanks to you!!! Did del mar today and Rc 6 took #7 in a big bet Show, amongst several other smaller finishers -- all for wins. Just fabulous! Thanks for keepin'er goin.
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gambler315 | 5 |
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As the line drops... give me Belechick over Mangini. Any given Sunday. My only thought.
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Louis_IV | 39 |
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I don't usually post, but it wasn't Reid's bullshit, t'was brass/ownership trumping his call. Reid already proclaimed Kolb as starter even as early on game day this past Sunday... now he's suddenly addressing America about the politically correct thing to do, giving 2nd chances and paying dues to society yada yada yada. This is all great...and sounds like a PR move. But... from a game stand point, it's the right move. Vick stands a better chance of negotiating and making decisions on the fly behind a weak offensive line... so to me, the positive offsets that negative... whereby I don't think Kolb would stand a chance in this position (if anything, maybe him starting would land him another concussion sadly). The Vick factor alone should be able to break any perceived stalemate in this one. So the Vick change is a PR move made by those above Reid... and strategically, it's the right one. I'm sure he's content both ways. Just my silly 2 cents. Thanks. |
Covers | 32 |
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I stopped using sportsbooks 3 years back, for the same reasons... plus, in the end, they're only looking out for themselves not the winners that always score the cash. Sports lottery is the only clean way to bet and get paid, which is what I use and it's all government run. Here, they will launch online sports betting, and casino... soon... all clean, all government run... so this is good too for cautious sports bettors like me. Good luck. |
BOUNTYHOUNTER | 45 |
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