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I had a big bet on UNDER 10.5 in the bottom of the 4th. There was no way this was going over till the rain came along. Will this be cancelled or honored??? Never been in this situation with a live in-game bet
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kuddish | 48 |
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Where is the rest of your writeup fever
Not playing this game but I think the over is the right play. GL tonight
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fever | 16 |
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Quote Originally Posted by fever: Thanks guys.....I brushed off the loss last night. With sports betting you can't rest on wins or sweat the losses. I appreciate the "mature" feedback. I've been here for over 10 years.....I was here when the covers chat boards first started. I'm not going anywhere and will certainly not be disuaded by some childish rookies who won't last a month. The same kids that hate are usually the same kids that cry that the league is fixed when they lose a bet. I've seen hundreds of these types come and go over the years. Now..... Let's move on and start looking at game 2. Can Miami beat the defence that OKC threw at them in the second half? Is it likely that OKC will shoot over 51% as they did in game 1 against a good Miami D? Is anyone else going to score other than the usual suspects? Are these teams still likely to make shots from 15 feet away as they are falling on their asses and will the Miami D that ranked 4th in the league actually show-up? That's what I'm thinking about.....not this childish drivel. Regards, YES. Miami can breakdown OKC's D!!! They were clearly fatigued in the 2nd half and you could tell as they turned into a jumpshooting team in the 4th Q. Needing a win in Game 2, expect James and Wade to be even MORE DETERMINED attacking the rim and drawing fouls. If the Spurs were able to get to the line at will, so will the Heat. YES. OKC will shoot over 50% just like they have in almost every recent home game! Why??? Because they attack the rim with reckless abandon and the Heat are too slow in the interior to cut down the dribble penetration. This leads to cheap fouls that puts OKC in the penalty and this is why Durant is at the FT line at the end of the game seemingly all the time. Please do not talk yourself into another under play :)))) NOT IN OKC where OKC will run all game long and refs will not stop calling fouls on the Heat!!!!
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fever | 76 |
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Tough one fever. I already bet the under before reading your post so i'm not here to bash :))
I think you should tread lightly when looking at UNDERS in this series until the lines adjust to the point where we get obvious value. All the totals in each game for the finals will be super tight and the style of play for both teams translates to an abundance of fouls as they both attack the rim to draw fouls. They both do it early in the quarter to get the other team into the penalty and because its Durant and James involved, their star presence will always get the respect of the refs!! I know this had a chance to push at the end but I have a feeling that there will be a few other games where the over/under outcome is decided in the final minute.....and this is simply to risky to have huge money on. Good luck the rest of the way!!!
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fever | 76 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nutribun2: 199.5 projected on bet365 They better fucking slow down on the 2nd half. Wont happen. Even when you think the quarter is trending for 35-40, there is a 1 min stretch of chaotic basketball where both teams dont miss. This has a 106-101 final written all over it!
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Bet_The_House | 35 |
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Way too much talent on the floor and even if both teams play well defensively, when either team needs a bucket, they will attack the paint and get easy hoops or get fouled every time. This reminds me of the OKC Spurs series when both teams will have no problem hitting 100 points almost every game.
Note to fever. Throw out the trends on this series, this finals will be street basketball, mark my words
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Bet_The_House | 35 |
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The UNDER is toast!!!!
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Bet_The_House | 35 |
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If OKC turns up the intensity on the defensive end, we will have a chance at the under. Right now, they are playing nervous, leaving open shots all over the court. The longer they are down by DD, OKC will try run more which is not good for under....cause Miami is dictating tempo right now
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Bet_The_House | 35 |
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We are on the same play again!! Its a tough one but i'm banking on a rusty start due to some Heat fatigue and nerves of playing in the Finals. However if both teams come out and score 50-55 in the 1stQ, I don't like my chances.
Good luck with your play fever :)
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fever | 76 |
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Ive got Russia PK. Lets hope for a push and get out of here. Im not very impressed with Russia's defence at all. Against a quality side that knows how to finish, they will get carved up.
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RookieBALBOA | 66 |
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Quote Originally Posted by calicappin: Why does Pinnacle offer only 5 total with - 225 juice to take under? Pinny has done this for awhile. A couple days before gameday, they offer the 4.5 then on gameday, they move it to 5 and heavily juice the under. I think they are just trying to attract huge juice bettors and hope that the game is a shootout. There is no way that money is moving the line from 4.5 to 5 at Pinny
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calicappin | 9 |
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[Quote: Originally Posted by calicappin] Is there a reason to NOT bet the Under tonight besides being due for an over?
[/Quote Thats the only reason buddy. The second something seems too easy and the Under has cashed every game, then some freak crap happens to push it over. I just can't foresee myself putting any money on the over with the way Quick and Brodeur are playing and 2 very strong defences
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calicappin | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by vegasdennis: First goal will be big I think Kings can still win if NJ scores first. The most important thing is that the Kings don't allow these fluke goals that are deciding games. Of course if Kings score first, Devils will need to open up and this will lead to even more odd man rushes
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Polar_Bear | 145 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Gold_Rush: 3rd times a charm.. or so they say!! Hope you are right, just made the bet for a nickel. If they can't win tonight, then screw the Kings, they don't deserve the Cup, enough said!!!!
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HookEmHorns22 | 67 |
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I've parlayed Kings + UNDER the last 2 games and have been wiped. Now i'm completely gunshy tonight and not sure if i should just bet the Under alone. Are you parlaying Kings and Under Horns???
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HookEmHorns22 | 67 |
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That's gotta be a mistake. I would bet a dime minimum on this if I had a -110 line!!!!
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LeRinkRat | 18 |
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4-0 scoreline is very optimistic considering the series has been ultra tight the whole way with the exception of Game 3. Devils D has improved in every game and I don't see this changing tonight. Kings will have to sweat this out the whole way, but if it does turn into a blowout, I will gladly take that outcome
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Skubishack | 15 |
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Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat: will there be a "time warp" back the 1942? doubtful BUT it COULD happen. we all know about the 1942 Leafs "lazarus" BUT I'm wondering HOW many Stanley Cup finals teams have come back from down 0-3 to make it 3-3 ONLY to FALL SHORT in Game 7 ??? I heard something that when a team goes up 3-0 in the finals, a Game 6 was only forced 5 times in history. So the number of times a Game 7 was forced is maybe 1-2 times max in the history of this sport. Devils have already defied the odds to get to this point and I have been impressed with this team's character throughout this series. Game 6 will be extremely nerve racking for all Kings series backers
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potvin | 37 |
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I hope you are right!!! I have a huge bet on Kings to win the series and i'm not feeling very comfortable right now. It seems like the pressure is getting to Quick while Marty is making the huge saves for his team. Kings better win in 6 or they are in major trouble
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potvin | 37 |
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Another fluke goal by the Devils. Kings are outplaying them badly and will probably lose again because Quick is screwing around!
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vegasdennis | 116 |
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