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Can I pay you for your picks now and get them at a discounted rate in good faith?
You are due. |
Inzideinfoz | 21 |
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Please do not post several threads that are one huge block of useless text.
The people in a bad mood are betting actually money that is why they get upset. Your threads are tickets like this: "Who else has the reds guys J Cueto (-200) 400 to win 6000." "Oh i swear bovada did that not me guys why would i lie." Which are somehow less unbearable than the threads where you make 3 plays on all 15 baseball games of a given day which you don't actually bet. Everyone hates you can you please re-retire and take up another hobby it would improve the overall mood of covers. I for one think that you would make a great mime |
LeoFlaGuy | 30 |
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Bro,
Do you seriously have to make a separate thread for every individual thought that you have? Your almost as annoying as the guy who spams the n-word for 45m a night |
LeoFlaGuy | 12 |
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Jesus. The Nuggets hit rediculous shots possession after possession.
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ukaaa | 5 |
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I like Monta, but Curry is the much better player IMO and a steal on his extension if he stays healthy, which is a huge if. Not many guys in the league have 50%/40%/90% potential, but he is one |
LeremyLin | 26 |
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Sorry for the 3rd post but I can't edit, also assuming this is right before tip.
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vanzack | 97 |
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And just to clarify for myself and everyone else. NBA game Team A @ Team B Line is Team B -5 -112 at pinnacle, but I can still get Team B -5 -110 at Bookmaker If I repeat this process when it is available to me over time I will hit 58%+? |
vanzack | 97 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
That is exactly what I am saying. I don't have it in front of me because I am not at work. This is all stuff our people at work have been following.
A majority of books move off this. If Pinnacle is -5 -110 when they are usually -104, -105, -106 or whatever as their normal vig, other books will go to -5.5. It is very beneficial if you have a local, or a low key offshore than doesn't move solely based off the Pinnacle juice.
I try and follow it as often as I can. And Pinnacle lines are moving till the last second before the game starts. That is why it is important to wait till the end.
Thanks Sharp for not only enlightening me on how easy it can be to win at sportsbetting, but anyone else who reads this thread. I predict a lot of casinos and off shores out of business at this time next year. That is is the Myans weren't right, however I am pulling for them. |
vanzack | 97 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
Somehow I've stumbled upon this thread and kept reading, but let me address this.
Working in the sportsbook industry, I can assure you the juice on a pinnacle side/total for a major sport such as NBA, NFL, NCAAF, or NCAAB is more often than not a winner. Definitely over 58% of the time.
If Pinnacle closes with a team -5 -111, it will more often than not win. I don't have the numbers in front of because I am not at work, but it is very similar to what you are talking about. If you follow the Pinnacle juice, you will end up ahead. You just have to make sure you are betting at the last second, and getting the same number.
Are you saying that if you bet the side that has the heavier juice at pinnacle right before the event starts on a major sport that you will hit 58% or better? Please clarify. If that is what you are saying I know why you don't have the numbers in front of you. |
vanzack | 97 |
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I don't post much I'm not big on forums b/c of the drama. I will say about 3 years ago I sent vanzack a friend request or PM and asked him if it would be OK if I asked him some general questions on gambling. I sent about 10-12 questions and he took the time to answer them thoroughly and politely. If he did that for me someone who is not even active on the forum, i'm sure he has helped plenty of others in the past. One of the main things he told me was to concentrate on beating the closing number, he said the same thing that he said above (probably copied it from the thread) pinnacle profiles you by how often you beat the number, that is more or less how you get on their radar and it is the only way to be a long term winner. They care more if you win while beating the number, than they do if you win and don't beat the number. He had a lot of other useful bits of info, but my point is he has been preaching that forever. Another good thread that he made was that gets referenced a lot is the one on flat betting baseball. If you don't agree w/ him that there wasn't any value on the game b/c of QB variance that's fine, but you can't use the argument "your dumb van, what if i could get +10!!!", because that line isn't available anywhere you are going to get paid neither is the 3.5 +140 from your example. You think you are clever, but you keep going back to an argument that doesn't exist and it is making you look ignorant. You are also ignoring anything he says so you can paint a general picture of him that fits your profile b/c of your grudge. 1) believes in jinxes (i doubt he does it is something we all say) You probably tailed him during a negative streak and you are mad. We all have bad streaks unlike several on here you won't see him claiming 60% picks or how easy picking games is b/c is it not. He just tells it like it is. So either you tailed him during a downswing or you are hating on him b/c of his goofy white avatar (van, buddy, this gets you most of your enemies). He is also not afraid to call an idiot an idiot. It is one of those 3 things b/c the posts he has on the actual process of sports betting are correct and valuable, and wouldn't offend anyone who wanted to win long term. Covers needs people like him around if people want to go from recreational players to people who make money. |
vanzack | 97 |
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I know everyone is hapy now but I have no idea why they took McCarthy out of the game. What a stupid move.
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KktdocT | 252 |
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I agree that Winnipegs offense looks suspect. BC could remedy that though. I got Win +7.5 teased w/ Montreal -1/2. I may play BC for a middle if Montreal hits. Good Luck! |
44-dimes | 16 |
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On the Argos Under myself.
The Cal/Sask Over looks good but i think I'm cursed in overs no matter what sport i bet. Good Luck! |
spottie2935 | 14 |
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I actually have the same teasers along with one with all 3. I think i'm going to go for a middle if the first leg of each hits though.
I also have Sask +4 small Tor/Ham U50 Normal Good luck! |
coldsnap55 | 22 |
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On the under as well. no play for edm/win side Keep flipping back and forth on the Sask/BC side though. Good Luck! |
bold27 | 8 |
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I'm tempted to flip over to Sask now I can get 3.5 at boomaker, that hook could loom large.
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Hizay | 4 |
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I'm gonna jump on Montreal -4 w/ everyone else. I dont' see how Toronto wins, but I thought they would get blown out last week so we will ahve to see. Hopefully Montreal scores first and Toronto has to play from behind. a couple fumbles from the Chads or Cleo woudn't hurt either. |
Hizay | 4 |
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Not that I'm sure he frightens you, but it says Cleo Lemon will be back under center on the Argo's website.
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tommy_covers | 25 |
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I agree. GL!
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JooseBoxx | 13 |
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Edm @ Win U 50 Sask @ BC ??????
The First play is locked in. I am really hoping for the BC line to come off the three before I put it in, but I will play them regardless.
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Hizay | 4 |
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