Covers Expert Matt Fargo will be providing his picks for each round the Accenture Match Play Championship from The Golf Club at Dove Mountain in Marana. Check out his six picks for Wednesday’s opening round matchups and get his overall tournament winner selections and event preview:
Ryan Moore -105 over Jim Furyk
Moore is a solid overall sleeper. He has been playing very well this year and made it to the quarters last year before losing to Luke Donald. Furyk has never reached the quarters and his Ryder Cup play last year shows his match play makeup is suspect.
Branden Grace +129 over Robert Garrigus
This is purely a value play where we have the higher-ranked player getting a big number for no apparent reason other than name recognition. Both Grace and Garrigus are rookies in this event so there is no advantage there. And, while Garrigus has played excellent in 2013 on the PGA Tour, the same can be said about Grace on the European Tour.
Fredrick Jacobson -117 over Ernie Els
Here we have a similar instance of a lower seed favored over a higher seed but this one makes sense. Jacobson is coming off a T3 at the Northern Trust last week, his second straight Top-7 showing, and his exceptional putting can be the difference. Els played well last week but his record here is suspect over the last decade.
Nicolas Colsaerts +103 over Bill Haas
Haas was in control at Riviera on Sunday with a three-shot lead but five bogeys in a seven-hole stretch did him in. He has lost in the first round in both starts here and his collapse is still fresh in his mind. Colsaerts lost to Lee Westwood here last year but he won the Volvo Match Play last season, so this format is for him.
David Lynn +180 over Webb Simpson
When Rory McIlroy ran away with the PGA Championship last year, who finished solo second? Not many people will guess it was Lynn, who was very successful on the European Tour before his move to the PGA Tour this year. Simpson finished T6 last week but his first-round loss to Manassero last year is a concern, especially at this price.
John Senden +120 over Bo Van Pelt
Van Pelt was in a similar position a year ago as he was the higher seed but lost to Mark Wilson 3&2. He has not played well to start the season and right now can’t be trusted as a favorite. Senden missed the cut at the Northern Trust last week but was playing well prior to that. He won his first two matches here a year ago 4&3 and 6&5.