The Rogers Centre will be a sea of red and white Monday with the sold-out home crowd celebrating Canada Day. The Toronto Blue Jays, who will sport their special red July 1 uniforms, take on the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 of a four-game set.
The Blue Jays haven’t been at their best on Canada’s birthday in recent years. In fact, they’ve lost three straight July 1 matchups heading into Monday’s contest.
Since 1999, Toronto is 5-9 on Canada Day, including a 3-3 record at home. If you wagered $100 on each of those 14 games, you’d be down -$310.64 and trading in your ice-cold Moosehead Cracked Canoe for a warm case of Laker Lager your uncle found in his old boat.
The Jays have been home for the holiday the past two seasons, losing 10-6 to the Los Angeles Angels last year and 7-6 to the Philadelphia Phillies in 2011. Both of those games played over the total.
Toronto is an even 7-7 over/under on July 1 (3-3 over/under at home) and has actually outscored opponents 72-67 over those 14 games, with an average of 9.93 combined runs in those contests against an average total of 9.28.
Knuckleballer R.A. Dickey (7-8, 4.72 ERA) gets the call for Canada Day, coming off a two-hit shutout of the Tampa Bay Rays his last time out. The Blue Jays are 9-8 over/under in his 17 starts this season. He matches pitches with Tigers rookie Jose Alvarez (1-1, 3.78 ERA, 1-2 O/U).
Toronto is just 2-6 as a moneyline favorite on Canada Day since 1999, with a 3-3 mark as an underdog.