Cowboys Stadium (now known as AT&T Stadium) has been a $1 billion “Welcome Mat” for visiting teams, making the Dallas Cowboys the worst home bet in the NFL – maybe even all of sports.
Since opening its doors in 2009, the Cowboys are 17-15 SU with a dreadful 11-21 ATS mark under the “Jerry-Tron”. And no team in the league has warmed up to the Cowboys’ fancy digs more than the New York Giants, who come to Dallas as 3-point road underdogs Sunday night.
New York started the bad voodoo at AT&T Stadium, edging the Cowboys 33-31 in their Grand Opening back in 2009. Giants QB Eli Manning infamously celebrated that win by signing the wall of the visiting locker room, “’33–31’ First win in the new stadium", and is 4-0 SU and ATS (an O/U) in Dallas since.
That bit of black magic, coupled with the fact that visiting teams get pumped up to play in AT&T Stadium, bringing hoards of loyal followers willing to make the trip to football’s new Mecca, has spoiled any home-field advantage the Cowboys would have. According to Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag, Dallas' home-field advantage ranks in the mid 20s among the 32 NFL teams and is worth 2.5 points on the spread - less than the general 3-point home swing.
"Their fans are generally listless and rarely are rowdy for more than the first series and last five minutes of a game," Perry tells Covers.
Dallas went a dismal 1-7 ATS as a host last season, its worst home ATS mark during its four seasons at AT&T Stadium. But it’s not all the stadium’s fault.
The under-performing Cowboys are arguably the most popular NFL franchise and, much like odds for the New York Yankees and Notre Dame football, books inflate the line to balance out the action from Dallas faithful, who would blindly bet Big D if they were playing the “Madden All-25 Team”.
That Dallas money moved the spread for Sunday night from a field goal to Cowboys -3.5. However, over the weekend, bettors wise to the home disadvantage in “Jerry’s World” trimmed that half-point hook with action on the Giants.