Chicago Cubs at Detroit Tigers (+112, 9)
The Chicago Cubs don’t score runs on the road.
The Cubbies are a wretched 13-20 away from Wrigley Field this season, with the majority of their problems attributed to leaving their bats back in the Windy City.
Chicago is hitting a meager .235 BA in opponents’ ballparks and has topped four runs just three times in their past 15 road games. The Cubs also have gone under the total in 14 of their past 20 games and have an O/U road record of 13-18-2.
The Tigers do have the ninth-best home offense in baseball, scoring 181 runs at Comerica Park and hitting .274 as a team, but overall are 14-16-2 against the number at home.
Neither pitchers – Chicago’s Ted Lilly or Detroit’s Armando Galarraga - will be unhittable, but look for both to keep runs off the board.
Pick: Under 9
Cleveland Indians at Pittsburgh Pirates (+143, 8.5)
The Indians have rocked opposing pitchers on the road this season. And the Pirates have been on a roll at home.
Cleveland has the fourth-best road offense in baseball, scoring a major-league best 211 roads away from home. The Tribe are batting .277 BA and have mashed 45 home runs. They are one of the few consistent over plays this season, topping the number in 24 of 37 road games.
The Pirates, however, are killing it at home and post a 17-13 record and hit .291 BA as a team at PNC Park - the second-best home average in the majors.
Pittsburgh has been struggling to score runs, but the majority of its struggles have come on the road as it figures to take a scalp off the Indians.
Pick: Pirates +143