Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong

Oct 29, 2013 |
Oklahoma State RB Desmond Roland rushed for 219 yards and four TDs last week..
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Oklahoma State RB Desmond Roland rushed for 219 yards and four TDs last week..
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most inderrated Top 25 team: Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-1 SU, 4-3-1 ATS)

The Cowboys have won three straight over TCU, Kansas State and Iowa State and they have another big game next week against Texas Tech. Running back Desmond Roland had a big game against the Cyclones, running for 219 yards and four TDs.

Oklahoma State has really turned things around on defense, allowing opponents fewer than 20 points per game - ranking 19th in the country. That's pretty impressive for a defense that wasn't able to stop anybody last year.

Most overrated Top 25 team: Miami Hurricanes (7-0 SU, 4-3 ATS)

The Hurricanes are still undefeated at 7-0, but they do look ripe for the picking heading into a road game versus FSU. Miami has been unimpressive in each of its last two games, barely avoiding defeat against unranked opponents (North Carolina and Wake Forest).

They came from being with last-minute scores in each of those games and the Hurricanes have trailed by double-digits in each of their last three contests. They could be in over their heads against the Seminoles on Saturday.

Unranked team that should be ranked: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-2 SU, 3-4-1 ATS)

The Irish are 6-2 with losses on the road at Michigan and versus Oklahoma at home. They will close out the season with three straight games against unranked opponents, before facing Stanford in Palo Alto in their final game of the season.

This Irish defense isn't quite what it was a year ago, but allowing just over 21 points per game is still quite respectable. A win over Navy this Saturday will likely put Notre Dame back in the Top 25.
Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View