Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong

Sep 25, 2013 |
Notre Dame QB Tommy Rees completed 14 of 34 attempts for 141 yards in Week 4.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Notre Dame QB Tommy Rees completed 14 of 34 attempts for 141 yards in Week 4.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Baylor Bears (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)

The Bears haven't yet faced a quality opponent, but they sure have beaten up on the opposition so far. Last week, they defeated the UL Monroe Warhawks by a score of 70-7. Success on offense is nothing new for Baylor, as the Bears were the highest scoring team in the country last year.

Their defense couldn't stop anybody though, including the Warhawks, who came close to pulling off the upset in a 47-42 defeat last September. It looks like this year's team has vastly improved on the defensive side of the ball and that's going to make them tough to beat.

Most overrated Top 25 team: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-1 SU, 0-3-1 ATS)

Tommy Rees isn't having a lot of success at quarterback for the Irish and he had a particularly tough game last week. Rees completed 14 of 34 attempts for 141 yards, as the Irish hung on to win 17-13 over Michigan State. The Oklahoma Sooners come to town this weekend and if they hand the Irish a second loss, expect to see Notre Dame fall out of the rankings.

Unranked team that should be ranked: Missouri Tigers (3-0 SU, 2-0-1 ATS)

The Tigers moved to 3-0 with a convincing road win over Indiana, but they have yet to face an SEC team. Missouri will host Arkansas State this week, then the schedule gets a lot tougher in October with games against Vanderbilt, Georgia, Florida and South Carolina. A win over Arkansas State will likely propel Missouri into the Top 25, but it could be short lived unless they can get an upset over Vanderbilt on the road.
Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View