NFL teams off a bye week covering at 54 percent

Oct 1, 2013 |
Football bettors get their first chance to factor the bye week into their handicapping Sunday, with the Green Bay Packers and Carolina Panthers coming off a week away from the gridiron.

The Packers are near-touchdown favorites at home to the Detroit Lions while the Panthers are set as 1-point road chalk in Arizona Sunday. Looking at the recent track record of NFL teams off the bye, you may want to get some cash down quick on these two well-rested clubs.

Since 2001, teams coming off the bye week are 201-172-3 SU and 201-166-9 ATS in the regular season – an ATS winning percentage of 54 percent. Last year, teams coming off the bye week went 15-15-2 SU and 18-14 ATS.

There has also been a slight lean toward the Under when teams are playing off a bye week. Perhaps having the extra week to prepare and study film are the reasons post-bye teams are 176-196-4 over/under since 2001. Teams of a bye week went 13-19 over/under last season.

As for teams on the bye in Week 5, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay and Washington all have time off this Sunday.

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