We talked to Bryan, a spokesman for BetDSI, about the flow of action coming in on Sunday’s NFL games.
Baltimore at Washington – Open: pick, Move: -2.5
The Ravens are thin at the linebacker position this week and the public is starting to believe in the Redskins after Monday’s win over the Giants. Most Vegas books now have Washington as high as a 2.5-point favorite.
“This game has seen a lot of line movement since opening as a pick,” Bryan told Covers. “There has been a lot of public action on the Redskins based on the media surrounding RG3. The sharps have also backed Washington with a lack of faith in Baltimore as a road team.“
New York Jets at Jacksonville – Open: +1, Move: +3
Rex Ryan has been under pressure to make a change at quarterback all week, but Mark Sanchez will be back under center against a banged up Jacksonville squad. The Jags are devastated by injuries in the backfield and will be without WR Cecil Shorts (concussion) Sunday. Money is pouring in on the Jets for the second straight week but it’s the total that really has the attention of bettors.
“For the average TV viewer this may be the worst game on the board in Week 14,” says Bryan. “For bettors this game has shown some opportunity as the sharps have hit the opening total line at over 38.5. The public has chosen to back the under buoyed on the quarterback issues that have burdened the Jets all season long.”
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay – Open: -7, Move: -9
The Bucs are the best cover team in the league and the Eagles are the worst. This discrepancy has the betting line in a constant state of flux, and has some offshores setting Tampa Bay as high as 9-point favorites.
“The public’s interest in Tampa Bay, heightened by their lack of faith in the struggling Eagles, has created a number that sharps are seeing some value in,” notes Bryan. “The backing of the Philly side by these bettors has pushed the opening line of -8.5 back slightly to -7 to maintain balance on both sides.”
Atlanta at Carolina – Open: +3, Move: +3.5
A public backed Falcons team has seen this game shoot to a 6-to-1 bet count, according to BetDSI. But surprisingly, this line hasn’t wavered drastically throughout the week.
“This will be a big decision game for the books if things stay this way through Sunday's kick off," says Bryan. “Because of the small spread on a currently popular team in the Falcons, the teaser action will add up quickly as well with public bettors getting Atlanta as an underdog option.”