Action report: Bills bets, sharps on UVa., and an NBA spot bet

Nov 15, 2012 |
It’s a busy night for sportsbooks with action in the NFL, NCAAF and NBA. We talk to Jay Rood, sportsbook director at the MGM Mirage, about the betting patterns and where he sees the odds ending up after a fantastic Thursday night.

NFL

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills – Open: Pick, Move: -3

The Bills have gone from as low as a pick to field-goal favorites, with one-sided action on the home team Thursday night. Buffalo is available at -3 at some online books and Las Vegas shops are likely headed in the same direction by kickoff.

“It’s pretty one-sided action right now and I don’t see that changing much,” Rood told Covers. “Buffalo impressed a lot of people with that spirited effort against New England last week, and that’s what’s driving this.”

NCAAF

North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers – Open: +4, Move: +3

Sharp money has moved the spread for this ACC standalone game to a field goal, siding with the home team. Rood says there hasn’t been a lot of support for UNC as of yet, but has seen the Tar Heels on most parlay cards and expects money on the favorite closer to game time.

“The problem is that Virginia played so poorly at the start of the season and a lot of people stopped paying attention to them,” says Rood.  “Those people haven’t seen that they’ve played pretty well recently. But the wise guys have had a very strong opinion on Virginia.”

NBA

Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets – Open: -3, Move: -4.5

Basketball bettors are siding with the Nets in the first half of this TNT doubleheader. The Celtics have been disappointing this season, especially at the window where they are just 2-5-1 ATS on the year.

Rood says he’s surprised at the action on the Nets and also notes a lot of bets are coming in on the over. Some books opened the total at 192 and moved down to 189.5 before getting by back and settling around 190.

Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets – Open: -3, Move: -3.5


Rood says many bettors look for spots like Thursday night’s game in Denver to go against the road team.

Miami played the Los Angeles Clippers at sea level last night and now travel to the thin mountain air of the Pepsi Center to face an improve Nuggets team.

“That's always a tough trip to make, no matter how good you are,” he says. “Guys will bet this spot, and just this spot, four or five times every year. It’s a tough thing to ask of a team.”

Heat guard Dwyane Wade played in the loss to the Clippers last night but is listed as doubtful for tonight’s game in Denver. Wade is averaging 16.9 points per game to start the year, slowed by a sprained left foot.

Rood says plenty of parlay money will be tied into Brooklyn and Miami Thursday, with bettors split on the New York at San Antonio game.
Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View