UFC Fight Night 27: Carlos Condit (-250) vs. Martin Kampmann (+210)
The main event of UFC Fight Night 27 is a five-round welterweight war between Carlos Condit and Martin Kampmann. This fight is a rematch of their 2009 bout in which Kampmann took a controversial split decision in a fight that many believe Condit won.
Condit (28-7) is one of the best welterweights on the planet and one of the most devastating finishers in the entire sport, winning 26 of 28 fights by way of stoppage. The 29 year old trains with a great camp at Greg Jackson’s and he’s worked hard to get his wrestling on par with his vicious striking and slick BJJ, which is some of the best in the entire division.
Although Condit is coming off two straight losses, those blemishes were to Georges St-Pierre and Johny Hendricks - the two best welterweights in the world. Those losses won’t hurt Condit, they will only make him grow as a martial artist, and his experience from those fights will help him get revenge against Kampmann.
Kampmann (20-6) is a perennial welterweight contender and one of the most well-rounded fighters with a combination of technical striking and savvy ground game. The 31 year old hasn’t fought since last November when he was KO’d by Hendricks at UFC 154, so really he has less than a minute of cage time in over a year with his last win coming over Jake Ellenberger in June 2012.
The layoff will surely hurt him against a tireless warrior like Condit and, although Kampmann got his hand raised in their first fight, this is a bad spot for him to come back to after that long layoff. This fight is going to be a war.
For the first two rounds I see both men standing in the pocket and chucking bombs at one another to the delight of the Indianapolis crowd.
Eventually all of Condit’s strikes are going to add up, Kampmann is going to wear down, and then Condit’s experience in the championship bouts will pay dividends as he finds his openings and beats up Kampmann so badly that the referee is forced to step in and stop the fight.
Adam Martin writes for MMAOddsbreaker.com. Follow him on Twitter @MMAdamMartin.
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