Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong

Feb 26, 2013 |
UConn isn't getting any respect from the Top 25 voters this week.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
UConn isn't getting any respect from the Top 25 voters this week.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most Underrated Top 25 Team - Georgetown Hoyas (21-4 SU, 14-7 ATS)

Georgetown is the hottest team in the country, without a doubt. The Hoyas have won nine straight, covering the points in all of those victories. It's even more impressive than it sounds though, when you look at who they are beating.

They went to South Bend and defeated the No. 24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish by a score of 63-47, then followed that up with a home win over No. 5 Louisville. It was their latest victory that is the most impressive, however, winning on the road against Syracuse in a convincing 57-46 win at the Carrier Dome.

They have a big game coming up in Connecticut Wednesday. It isn't going to be easy against the Huskies, but Georgetown hasn't had any troubles winning on the road lately. The Hoyas finish the season with a home meeting versus Syracuse, and you know the Orange will have revenge on their minds.

Most Overrated Top 25 Team - Wisconsin Badgers (19-8 SU, 10-14-1 ATS)

I had the Badgers pegged as the most overrated team in the nation last week, and a win over Northwestern has done nothing to change my mind. Last week I said, "The Badgers have the lowest winning percentage of any of the ranked teams, yet they find themselves ranked No. 17 overall. Wisconsin has been a losing bet this year, with a terrible 9-14-1 ATS record. The Badgers are only averaging 67 points per game and they are just shooting 42.6 percent from the field."

While they did manage to cover in their win over a weak Northwestern team, they haven't improved their shooting percentage and they only matched their season average of 67 points. The Badgers play Nebraska at home Tuesday as 16-point favorites. They face a much tougher test when they take on Michigan State in East Lansing next Thursday.

Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – Connecticut Huskies (19-7 SU, 12-10 ATS)

The Huskies have put together back-to-back wins and they’re now ahead of No. 23 Pittsburgh and just one game back of No. 21 Notre Dame in the Big East standings. Connecticut's 19-7 record is better than Wisconsin's 19-8 record, yet the Badgers find themselves in the No. 16 slot.

Connecticut has victories over Syracuse, Notre Dame, and Michigan State. UConn’s next game is at home against Georgetown and it is going to be a tough one. But if the Huskies can get past the Hoyas, you have to like their chances of sneaking into the Top 25 next week.
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