MLB Daily Line Drive: Friday's picks, betting odds and analysis

Apr 20, 2017 |
MLB Daily Line Drive: Friday's picks, betting odds and analysis
The Rangers have struggled a bit to the start of the season, but they've won seven straight games vs. the Royals and send Cole Hamels to the mound Friday. Texas -160.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
The Rangers have struggled a bit to the start of the season, but they've won seven straight games vs. the Royals and send Cole Hamels to the mound Friday. Texas -160.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The baseball schedule can be tough to navigate for even a seasoned bettor. We break down all the day's MLB betting angles for you including picks, trends, weather and analysis to help you handicap the big leagues like a pro.

Double-Play Picks

Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers (-160, 8.5)

The Texas Rangers could be having a pretty good year, if it wasn’t for their bullpen, which has blown five of six save opportunities this season. Hopefully that won’t be a problem when they send Cole Hamels to the mound to take on the Royals.

Hamels hasn’t been light’s out this season, but he’s done his job. The lefty has a 3.50 and three no decisions in three starts this season (thanks again bullpen) and the Rangers are 24-8 in his last 32 home starts.

What makes this game more tempting is Hamels matchup with the Royals. They rank dead last in the majors in runs scored at just 2.73 runs per game, 28th in batting average and 29th in OPS, plus the Royals actually have a worse bullpen than the Rangers in terms of ERA.

Kansas City is also 0-7 in its last seven games against Texas. It may be a steep price, but it’s worth it.

Pick: Rangers -160

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies (+105, 10)

It’s been role reversal of sorts early on in the National League West as the 6-10 Giants sit in the basement of the division looking up at the 10-6 Rockies.

The Giants offense hasn’t gotten any better this season, as they rank 21st in runs scored at just 3.81 per game, 23rd in OPS and 28th in home runs.  The Giants have struggled to score even more against lefties with the Under going 7-0 in the last seven against south paws.

Shockingly, it hasn’t been offense that has carried the Rockies to their 10 wins. Colorado is scoring just 3.38 runs per game this season, while the team ERA is a respectable 3.77.

With elevated Colorado totals and the low run scoring the Rockies are the best Under team in the big leagues at 4-12 O/U. The Under is also 15-3 in the Rockies last 18 home games.

Pick: Under 10

Yesterday's Picks: 0-2
Season to Date: 6-8

For more FREE MLB picks and analysis check out our Free Picks page on Covers Experts.



Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Jeremy Hellickson, Philadelphia Phillies (2-0, 1.59 ERA, $401)

Hellickson is picking up where we left off last season, pitching well and leading the Phillies to three wins in his first three starts this year.

The 30-year-old soft tossing righty has pitched to a very good 1.59 ERA and has found success by keeping runners off the bases. Hellickson has a 0.82 WHIP and held opponents to a very low .231 OBP. The Phillies are -115 home chalk against the Braves.

Slumping: Jose Quintana, Chicago White Sox (0-3, 6.75 ERA, $-327)

Quintana was an Under darling in 2016 thanks to how effectively he was throwing the ball, but he tailed off late and it has carried over to 2017.

The 28-year-old lefty has allowed five or more earned runs in two of his first three outings this season and has had real trouble with control, giving up nine walks to just 14 strikeouts this season and a 1.62 WHIP.  The White Sox are +145 home dogs against the Indians.

Friday's Top Trends

* The Under is 7-0 in Drew Pomeranz's last seven road starts. O/U: 8.5 @ Baltimore.
* The Indians are 7-0 in Corey Kluber's last seven starts vs. American League Central opponents. Indians -167 @ White Sox.
* The Tigers are 7-0 in their last seven games against a left-handed starter. Tigers -143 @ Twins.
* The Under is 14-1-1 in the last 16 meetings in Tampa Bay between the Astros and Rays. O/U: 8.

Weather to Keep an Eye On

The pitchers could recieve a hand when the Kansas City Royals visit the Texas Rangers on Friday night. The forecast is calling for a strong pitchers wind to be gusting in from right field at 18-20 miles per hour. It will also be warm with temperatures in the low 80's and it will be partly cloudy with a 31 percent chance rain and a chance of thunderstorms later in the evening. The total for the game is currently 8.5.

UMP of the Day

Angel Hernandez: Hernandez will be calling balls and strikes for today's game in Milwaukee where the Brewers will host the St. Louis Cardinals, which might not be the best for the Brewers. Hernandez has been the opposite of a homer ump recently with the road team winning eight of the last 10 games he has officiated. Hernandez also has a strike rate of 63.1 and is 3-1 O/U in the four games he has been behind the plate for this year.

Friday's Top Consensus

Here are today's top MLB side and total plays according to our Covers Consensus.




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