It was a Sunday the Harbaugh family will never forget.
Baltimore’s John and San Francisco’s Jim will be the first brothers to ever square off in a Super Bowl on Feb. 3 in New Orleans after leading their respective teams to victories on Sunday.
We chat with Pete Korner, founder and owner of Nevada-based oddsmaking service The Sports Club, about his suggested spread for Super Bowl XLVII.
Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers (-5, 52)
While speaking with Korner about this year’s Super Bowl odds he made one thing very clear – this decision was “very tough to make.”
Korner’s stable of oddsmakers varied between Niners -5 and -3, but he ultimately decided to send out a suggested spread on the high end at -5, well above what most shops decided to open at.
“We have been high on favorites and totals all year,” Korner told Covers.
What makes setting lines for the Super Bowl unique is the two-week layoff before the big game and the international interest it draws.
“The trick is trying to set a line that will encourage two-way action for the entire two weeks leading up to the game,” Korner says. “I don’t mind being a little high.”
Sportsbook directors in Vegas are predicting an early flood of San Fran money and aren’t expecting to see two-way action until the line eventually hits Niners -6, according to Korner. The proximity of the 49ers to Nevada should boost the amount of money being wagered.
Most offshores and Vegas books opened with a total between 48 and 49, well below The Sports Club’s suggested number of 52. San Francisco has played over the number in nine of its last 10 games overall and Joe Flacco has the Baltimore offense averaging 30 points per game in the playoffs. Remember, Flacco helped his team put up 38 points against a stout Denver defense a couple weeks ago.
“What makes Flacco’s run impressive is that he’s done it in adverse weather conditions,” says Korner. “He’s done it in the cold and wind at two very tough venues (Denver, New England) for an opposing QB."
Most Vegas shops are currently hovering around Niners -4 with a total of 48 as of Monday morning. Korner expects books will see peak action early on Super Bowl Sunday.