Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong

Nov 19, 2013 |
Alonzo Harris has UL Lafayette knocking on the door of the Top 25.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Alonzo Harris has UL Lafayette knocking on the door of the Top 25.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Stanford Cardinal (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS)

The Stanford Cardinal have dropped in the rankings after a loss on the road to USC this week. They've now lost twice on the road to unranked opponents, but the Cardinal are still the only team in the past two years that have beaten the Oregon Ducks.

They finish up the season with home games against Pac-12 rivals Cal this week, and Notre Dame the following Saturday. Stanford's defense is again one of the top 20 in the nation, allowing fewer than 20 points per game and they've put up those numbers playing five of their 10 games against Top 25 teams.

Most overrated Top 25 team: Auburn Tigers (10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS)

The Tigers have had a fantastic season and there’s no doubt that they deserve to be ranked in the Top 25, but I'm not convinced they can compete with the nation's best. We'll find out in two weeks time when they host Alabama in their final game of the season.

It was a last-second, desperation pass for a 73-yard touchdown that saw them come from behind and beat Georgia Saturday. That miracle results in a move into the Top 5, instead of falling out of the Top 10.

Unranked team that should be ranked: UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (8-2 SU, 4-6 ATS)

The Ragin' Cajuns lost their first two games of the season on the road at Kansas State and Arkansas, but they've since gone on to win eight straight. They will be a significant favorite in each of their final two games, at home against ULM in two weeks time and at South Alabama in the first week of December.
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