UFC on FOX 5 Odds: Lightweight Title Benson Henderson (-150) vs. Nate Diaz (+120)
Unlike his brother Nick, Diaz is actually a true No. 1 contender at lightweight and could pose a serious problem for Henderson due to his size and striking ability.
Diaz proved himself in a dominant win over Donald Cerrone a year ago and those two could be set for a rematch with the title belt on the line if they each win their next fights.
Henderson’s controversial split-decision win over Frankie Edgar in their rematch has not made bettors second-guess him or his chances to defend his championship, as they seem to be backing him so far in early wagering.
Henderson will need to be better prepared against Diaz, who has earned two Submission of the Night bonuses and one Fight of the Night bonus in his three bouts since returning to lightweight.
The champ has won 15 of his last 16 bouts, beating a wide variety of opponents during that stretch. The key to victory for him will be not allowing Diaz to dictate the style and tempo of the fight. Otherwise, Henderson could end up falling for the first time since he lost the WEC belt to Anthony Pettis two years ago.
MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas made the champ Henderson a slight -150 favorite while the challenger Diaz opened as a +120 underdog.
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