Australian Open: Finding underdog value in the men's draw

Jan 10, 2013 |
By: Jon Campbell
Is there value behind Novak Djokovic (+110 to win) at the Aussie Open?
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Is there value behind Novak Djokovic (+110 to win) at the Aussie Open?
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
For the men’s side of the draw at the Australian Open, it’s not exactly Novak Djokovic vs. The Field in betting terms, but it’s not too far off.

The fact that Djokovic “only” won a single grand slam last year (the Aussie) has a little something to do with other players attracting some action. In case you haven't noticed though, the Serb kind of likes it in kangaroo country.  

“We've tried to keep Djokovic on our side as best we can,” says UWin trade manager Russ Candler. “His track record in Melbourne winning the last two years and three in total. His fitness level is second no nobody and the next two weeks will be brutal with the fierce heat that they'll encounter. Plus with Fed and Murray on the other side of the draw, his route to the final should remain quite easy.”

Candler says Andy Murray has been bet down from +550 to +275 since breaking through with his first grand slam at the U.S. Open and Roger Federer has moved slightly from +600 to +500 since November.

Let’s take a look at some possible underdogs who might make for good bets through the Australian Open next week. Savvy tennis bettor and a solid follow for soccer and MMA bettors, @JayPrimetown, highlights a couple of value players for us on the men’s side:

Richard Gasquet (+12000 to win):

Jay says: “The #10 ranked player in the world started 2013 with a bang winning the Qatar Exxon Mobil Open and will take that momentum into Melbourne. The Frenchman is one of only a handful of players to reach the fourth Round of all 4 majors in 2012. One can be confident he will be playing in the second week of this major.”
Bernard Tomic (+6000 to win):

Jay says: “The youngest player in the ATP Top 100, Tomic is undefeated on the season including a win over Novak Djokovic at the Hopman Cup. The Australian has high expectations and has committed himself to the game thus far this early season. He's primed for a deep run in Melbourne.”

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