UFC 158: Nate Diaz (+425) vs. Georges St-Pierre (-550)
The UFC welterweight title is on the line as champion Georges St-Pierre takes on his arch rival Nick Diaz in the main event of UFC 158. This is one of the biggest fights of the year and the tension has reached a tipping point during fight week, so fans can expect nothing less than an amazing fight Saturday night.
St-Pierre (23-2) is the long-time UFC welterweight champion and is looking to make his eighth-consecutive title defense. The champion called out Diaz because of all his trash talk over the last few years and is out to shut Diaz up for good this weekend.
Diaz (26-8, 1 NC) is the ultimate bad boy of mixed martial arts. After losing a close decision to Carlos Condit at UFC 143, Diaz tested positive for marijuana metabolites and has been sitting out on the sidelines for the past year. He wasn’t next in line for a title shot - Johny Hendricks was - but because St-Pierre specifically requested the matchup with Diaz, UFC president Dana White made the fight.
Diaz is one of the best boxers in the sport of MMA and has an incredible ground game, as he possesses a very dangerous submission arsenal off his back. Of his 26 victories, 13 have come by way of KO and eight have come via submission. If Diaz can keep the fight with St-Pierre on their feet, he can certainly win by knockout. But if he gets taken down and put on his back for five rounds he will definitely lose the fight.
If the high price tag on GSP says anything, it’s that St-Pierre is more than likely going to win this fight. So the only question is how?
While most believe that St-Pierre is going to win via decision, he has the ability to finish Diaz. St-Pierre can take Diaz down and beat him up on the ground then pick up the pace on a tired and beaten opponent, get a dominant position on the ground and rain down blows until the referee or ringside physician stop the fight.
The “St-Pierre wins inside the distance” prop, which can be had around +400, holds value with a good possibility that he stops Diaz with strikes (or less likely, a submission).
Check out MMAOddsbreaker.com for all the latest MMA betting news. Find the latest MMA odds here.